Roy Amara (RIP) for the future of science

04Jan08

IFTFFrom BoingBoing: «Roy Amara, engineer, forecaster, and longtime president of Institute for the Future, died on Monday. At age 82, Roy still made regular visits to IFTF and attended our conferences, always offering sage advice and brilliant bits of insight. … At IFTF, Roy established our Ten-Year Forecast, now in its 35th year. In 1977, he led one of the first studies on the possible impacts of global climate change.»
From IFTF’s Future Now: «In the early days of his tenure the Institute conducted studies of the impact of the Arpanet on scientific research, and the future of groupware. Today we’re still exploring the future of science, and are using the collaborative tools that we once forecast. There aren’t many futurists whose work has that kind of longevity.»

“We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.” – Roy Amara (1925-2007)



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